Chester vs Marine prediction

Chester have won 3 of their last 5, while Marine are unbeaten in their last 5. Chester average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Marine average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Chester lost 1-2 against Marine. Our model expects Chester to score about 1.3 and Marine about 1.1. Chester should avoid losing by two goals or more.