Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 5, while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5. Bayern Munich average 3.6 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Borussia Dortmund average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Bayern Munich won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Borussia Dortmund, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Bayern Munich to score about 2.2 and Borussia Dortmund about 1.2. We expect only around 3.4 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.