Caracas FC vs Monagas SC prediction

Caracas FC have won 3 of their last 5, while Monagas SC have taken 5 points from their last 5. Caracas FC average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Monagas SC average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Caracas FC won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Monagas SC, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Caracas FC to score about 1.4 and Monagas SC about 1.1. Monagas SC should avoid losing by two goals or more.