Chester vs Hednesford Town prediction

Chester have won 3 of their last 5, while Hednesford Town have won 4 of their last 5. Chester average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Hednesford Town average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. Our model expects Chester to score about 1.6 and Hednesford Town about 1.1. Hednesford Town should avoid losing by two goals or more.