Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Levante have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 5. Levante average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Atletico Madrid average 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Levante won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Atletico Madrid, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Levante to score about 1.4 and Atletico Madrid about 1.4. Levante should avoid losing by two goals or more.