Luzern vs Sion prediction

Luzern have lost 3 of their last 5, while Sion have won 3 of their last 5. Luzern average 2.4 scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while Sion average 2.0 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Luzern won 0, drew 3 and lost 1 to Sion, with 2.8 goals a game. Our model expects Luzern to score about 1.6 and Sion about 1.7. Sion should avoid losing by two goals or more.