Motherwell vs St. Mirren prediction

Motherwell have not won in their last 5, while St. Mirren have lost 4 of their last 5. Motherwell average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while St. Mirren average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Motherwell won 2, drew 1 and lost 0 to St. Mirren, with 4.3 goals a game. Our model expects Motherwell to score about 1.6 and St. Mirren about 1.3. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.