Pachuca vs Tigres UANL prediction

Pachuca have lost 3 of their last 5, while Tigres UANL have taken 8 points from their last 5. Pachuca average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Tigres UANL average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Pachuca won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Tigres UANL, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Pachuca to score about 1.5 and Tigres UANL about 1.2. Tigres UANL should avoid losing by two goals or more.