Port Vale vs Rochdale prediction

Port Vale have won 3 of their last 5, while Rochdale have not won in their last 5. Port Vale average 1.1 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Rochdale average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. Our model expects Port Vale to score about 1.7 and Rochdale about 0.9. Port Vale should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.