Stoke City vs Preston North End prediction

Stoke City have won 3 of their last 5, while Preston North End have not won in their last 5. Stoke City average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Preston North End average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Stoke City won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Preston North End, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Stoke City to score about 1.9 and Preston North End about 0.9. Stoke City should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.