Tranent vs Bo'ness United prediction

Tranent have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Bo'ness United have won 4 of their last 5. Tranent average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Bo'ness United average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Tranent won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Bo'ness United, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Tranent to score about 1.6 and Bo'ness United about 1.3. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.