Troyes vs Le Mans prediction

Troyes have not won in their last 5, while Le Mans have taken 5 points from their last 5. Troyes average 1.2 scored and 1.9 conceded at home, while Le Mans average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. Our model expects Troyes to score about 1.2 and Le Mans about 1.4. Troyes should avoid losing by two goals or more.