UPNFM vs Génesis PN prediction

UPNFM have won 3 of their last 5, while Génesis PN have not won in their last 5. UPNFM average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Génesis PN average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings UPNFM won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Génesis PN, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects UPNFM to score about 1.2 and Génesis PN about 1.0. UPNFM should find the net, with about 1.2 goals expected from them.