Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo prediction

Vélez Sarsfield have won 3 of their last 5, while San Lorenzo have taken 7 points from their last 5. Vélez Sarsfield average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while San Lorenzo average 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, Vélez Sarsfield drew 0-0 against San Lorenzo. Our model expects Vélez Sarsfield to score about 1.3 and San Lorenzo about 0.8. San Lorenzo should avoid losing by two goals or more.