Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim prediction

Werder Bremen have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Hoffenheim have won 3 of their last 5. Werder Bremen average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, while Hoffenheim average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Werder Bremen won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Hoffenheim, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Werder Bremen to score about 2.0 and Hoffenheim about 1.6. Hoffenheim should avoid losing by two goals or more.