Burgos vs Castellón prediction

Burgos have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Castellón have won 3 of their last 5. Burgos average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Castellón average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. Our model expects Burgos to score about 1.1 and Castellón about 1.4. Burgos may struggle in front of goal, with only about 1.1 goals expected from them.