OB vs Silkeborg prediction

OB are unbeaten in their last 5, while Silkeborg have taken 6 points from their last 5. OB average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Silkeborg average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded away from home. In their last 5 meetings OB won 0, drew 1 and lost 4 to Silkeborg, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects OB to score about 1.5 and Silkeborg about 1.3. Silkeborg should avoid losing by two goals or more.