Al Sadd vs Al Ahli prediction

Al Sadd have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Al Ahli have won 4 of their last 5. Al Sadd average 1.8 scored and 2.6 conceded at home, while Al Ahli average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Al Sadd lost 1-2 against Al Ahli. Our model expects Al Sadd to score about 1.4 and Al Ahli about 1.6. Al Sadd should avoid losing by two goals or more.