Arbroath vs Queen of the South prediction

Arbroath have lost 4 of their last 5, while Queen of the South have won 3 of their last 5. Arbroath average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Queen of the South average 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. Our model expects Arbroath to score about 1.4 and Queen of the South about 1.2. We expect only around 2.6 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.