Barcelona vs Aston Villa prediction

Barcelona have won 3 of their last 5, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. Barcelona average 3.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Aston Villa average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Barcelona to score about 2.5 and Aston Villa about 1.4. Aston Villa should find the net, with about 1.4 goals expected from them.