Derby County vs Norwich City prediction

Derby County have not won in their last 5, while Norwich City have lost 4 of their last 5. Derby County average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Norwich City average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Derby County lost 1-2 against Norwich City. Our model expects Derby County to score about 1.3 and Norwich City about 1.5. Derby County should avoid losing by two goals or more.