Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo San Lorenzo prediction

Nacional Asunción have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Sportivo San Lorenzo have not won in their last 5. Nacional Asunción average 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, while Sportivo San Lorenzo average 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Nacional Asunción won 2, drew 1 and lost 0 to Sportivo San Lorenzo, with 1.3 goals a game. Our model expects Nacional Asunción to score about 1.8 and Sportivo San Lorenzo about 0.6. Nacional Asunción should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.