Lens vs Como prediction

Lens have lost 3 of their last 5, while Como have won 4 of their last 5. Lens average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Como average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. Our model expects Lens to score about 1.3 and Como about 1.6. Lens should avoid losing by two goals or more.