Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction

Lugano are unbeaten in their last 5, while Kauno Žalgiris have lost 4 of their last 5. Lugano average 2.2 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Kauno Žalgiris average 0.6 scored and 2.8 conceded away from home. Our model expects Lugano to score about 2.5 and Kauno Žalgiris about 1.0. Lugano should find the net, with about 2.5 goals expected from them.