Riga vs Jablonec prediction

Riga are unbeaten in their last 5, while Jablonec have lost 3 of their last 5. Riga average 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Jablonec average 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. Our model expects Riga to score about 1.5 and Jablonec about 1.1. We expect only around 2.6 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.