ADT vs Sporting Cristal prediction

ADT have taken 6 points from their last 5, while Sporting Cristal have won 4 of their last 5. ADT average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Sporting Cristal average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, ADT lost 1-2 against Sporting Cristal. Our model expects ADT to score about 1.5 and Sporting Cristal about 1.3. We expect only around 2.7 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.