Atlas vs Pachuca prediction

Atlas have won 3 of their last 5, while Pachuca have taken 7 points from their last 5. Atlas average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Pachuca average 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Atlas won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Pachuca, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Atlas to score about 1.3 and Pachuca about 1.6. Pachuca should find the net, with about 1.6 goals expected from them.