Libertad vs Nacional Asunción prediction

Libertad have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Nacional Asunción have won 3 of their last 5. Libertad average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Nacional Asunción average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Libertad won 1, drew 0 and lost 2 to Nacional Asunción, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Libertad to score about 1.0 and Nacional Asunción about 1.2. Libertad should avoid losing by two goals or more.