Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich prediction

Mainz 05 have lost 4 of their last 5, while Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 5. Mainz 05 average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Bayern Munich average 2.6 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Mainz 05 won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Bayern Munich, with 5.5 goals a game. Our model expects Mainz 05 to score about 1.7 and Bayern Munich about 2.5. We expect around 4.1 goals in total, so goals look likely.