Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town prediction

Merthyr Town have not won in their last 5, while Hebburn Town have not won in their last 5. Merthyr Town average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Hebburn Town average 1.6 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. Our model expects Merthyr Town to score about 1.7 and Hebburn Town about 1.3. Hebburn Town should avoid losing by two goals or more.