Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction

Nottingham Forest have not won in their last 5, while Manchester City have taken 7 points from their last 5. Nottingham Forest average 0.9 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, while Manchester City average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Nottingham Forest drew 2-2 against Manchester City. Our model expects Nottingham Forest to score about 1.2 and Manchester City about 1.6. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.