Novorizontino vs Fortaleza prediction

Novorizontino are unbeaten in their last 5, while Fortaleza are unbeaten in their last 5. Novorizontino average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Fortaleza average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Novorizontino lost 0-1 against Fortaleza. Our model expects Novorizontino to score about 1.4 and Fortaleza about 0.9. Fortaleza should avoid losing by two goals or more.