Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction

Osasuna have lost 3 of their last 5, while Athletic Club have won 3 of their last 5. Osasuna average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Athletic Club average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Osasuna won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Athletic Club, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Osasuna to score about 1.3 and Athletic Club about 1.5. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.