Parma vs Bologna prediction

Parma have lost 3 of their last 5, while Bologna have won 4 of their last 5. Parma average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Bologna average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Parma won 1, drew 0 and lost 2 to Bologna, with 2.7 goals a game. Our model expects Parma to score about 1.0 and Bologna about 1.4. Bologna should find the net, with about 1.4 goals expected from them.