Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction

Atletico Madrid have won 3 of their last 5, while Barcelona have won 3 of their last 5. Atletico Madrid average 2.1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Barcelona average 2.5 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 5 meetings Atletico Madrid won 2, drew 0 and lost 3 to Barcelona, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Atletico Madrid to score about 1.5 and Barcelona about 1.8. Atletico Madrid should avoid losing by two goals or more.