Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction

Deportivo Garcilaso have lost 3 of their last 5, while Comerciantes Unidos have taken 6 points from their last 5. Deportivo Garcilaso average 2.3 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Comerciantes Unidos average 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. When they last met, Deportivo Garcilaso drew 0-0 against Comerciantes Unidos. Our model expects Deportivo Garcilaso to score about 2.1 and Comerciantes Unidos about 1.2. Deportivo Garcilaso should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.