Kalmar vs Sirius prediction

Kalmar have lost 3 of their last 5, while Sirius have taken 7 points from their last 5. Kalmar average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Sirius average 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Kalmar lost 2-3 against Sirius. Our model expects Kalmar to score about 0.9 and Sirius about 1.6. Sirius should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.