Le Havre vs Lorient prediction

Le Havre have not won in their last 5, while Lorient have taken 7 points from their last 5. Le Havre average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Lorient average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Le Havre won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Lorient, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Le Havre to score about 1.1 and Lorient about 1.3. Le Havre should avoid losing by two goals or more.