Millonarios vs Alianza prediction

Millonarios are unbeaten in their last 5, while Alianza have taken 7 points from their last 5. Millonarios average 1.5 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Alianza average 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Millonarios drew 2-2 against Alianza. Our model expects Millonarios to score about 1.7 and Alianza about 0.9. We expect around 2.5 goals in total, so goals look likely.