Virtus Entella vs Modena prediction

Virtus Entella have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Modena have won 3 of their last 5. Virtus Entella average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Modena average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Virtus Entella won 2-1 against Modena. Our model expects Virtus Entella to score about 1.2 and Modena about 1.3. Virtus Entella should avoid losing by two goals or more.