Zhejiang vs Henan prediction

Zhejiang have lost 3 of their last 5, while Henan have not won in their last 5. Zhejiang average 2.1 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Henan average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Zhejiang won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Henan, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Zhejiang to score about 2.0 and Henan about 1.5. Henan should find the net, with about 1.5 goals expected from them.