Luxembourg vs Montenegro

Luxembourg have not won in their last 5, while Montenegro have lost 3 of their last 5. Luxembourg average 0.3 scored and 5.0 conceded at home, while Montenegro average 1.4 scored and 3.8 conceded away from home. Our model expects Luxembourg to score about 1.5 and Montenegro about 1.4. We expect only around 2.9 goals in...