PSG vs Barcelona

PSG are unbeaten in their last 5, while Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 5. PSG average 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Barcelona average 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. Our model expects PSG to score about 1.6 and Barcelona about 2.0. Barcelona should avoid losing by two goals or more.