Porto vs PSV

Porto have won 3 of their last 5, while PSV have taken 7 points from their last 5. Porto average 1.9 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while PSV average 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. Our model expects Porto to score about 1.8 and PSV about 1.5. PSV should find the net, with about 1.5 goals expected from th...