Auxerre vs Le Mans

Auxerre have won 3 of their last 5, while Le Mans have taken 5 points from their last 5. Auxerre average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Le Mans average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. Our model expects Auxerre to score about 1.9 and Le Mans about 1.3. We expect only around 3.2 goals in total, so...