Midtjylland vs Ajax

Midtjylland have won 3 of their last 5, while Ajax have won 4 of their last 5. Midtjylland average 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Ajax average 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. Our model expects Midtjylland to score about 1.5 and Ajax about 1.7. Midtjylland should avoid losing by two goals or more...