Albania vs Wales prediction

Albania have lost 3 of their last 5, while Wales are unbeaten in their last 5. Albania average 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while Wales average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Albania won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Wales, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Albania to score about 1.4 and Wales about 1.3. Wales should at least avoid defeat.