Lithuania vs Sweden prediction

Lithuania have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Sweden have taken 5 points from their last 5. Lithuania average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded at home, while Sweden average 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. Our model expects Lithuania to score about 1.5 and Sweden about 1.1. Sweden should at least avoid defeat.