Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town prediction

Haverfordwest County have lost 3 of their last 5, while Caernarfon Town have taken 8 points from their last 5. Haverfordwest County average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Caernarfon Town average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Haverfordwest County drew 2-2 against Caernarfon Town. Our model expects Haverfordwest County to score about 1.1 and Caernarfon Town about 1.7. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.