Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City prediction

Bolton Wanderers have lost 3 of their last 5, while Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 5. Bolton Wanderers average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Stoke City average 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Bolton Wanderers to score about 1.7 and Stoke City about 1.1. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.